Cebr Analysis of 2030 Ban

1. Key Points	4
2. Introduction	6
3. The Analytical Approach	9
4. Methodology	11
4.1. Baseline and Alternative scenarios	11
4.2. The UK’s vehicle fleet in 2022	12
4.3. Future development of the UK’s vehicle fleet	12
4.4. Charging and refuelling times	15
4.5. Driving and production emissions	17
5. Results	19
5.1. Core results	19
Monetised Impacts	19
Monetised Benefits	19
Monetised Costs	21
5.2. Household impacts	27
5.3. Van user impacts	27
5.4. Sensitivity tests	28
Alternative carbon prices	28
TAG fuel consumption projections in both scenarios	29
Low carbon fuel (biofuel) adoption	30
Energy price shocks	31
6. Non-monetised impacts	36
7. Conclusion	40

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