20 Centre for Economics and Business Research Figure 3: Fleet composition by scenario Figure 4 shows how vehicle traction emissions (i.e. those produced by kilometres driven, not by vehicle manufacture) develop under each scenario – under the Alternative scenario they are dramatically lower by 2050. Figure 4: Total vehicle traction emissions per year (tonnes CO2e) The overall value of reduced CO2e emissions has been calculated to be £64.7 billion, in present value terms (using TAG central values of emissions). The largest portion of this, at £37.7 billion, relates to cars, which make up the largest part of the fleet. There will also be significant assessed benefits generated by reduced NOx, PM10, and PM2.5 emissions. The monetised value of these benefits is significantly lower than the CO2e benefits, with a total beneficial impact of £11.2 billion. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 ICE Baseline HEV Baseline PHEV Baseline BEV Baseline ICE Alternative HEV Alternative PHEV Alternative BEV Alternative 0 10000000 20000000 30000000 40000000 50000000 60000000 70000000 80000000 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 Baseline Alternative
RkJQdWJsaXNoZXIy ODMyMDY=